India 

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    MANMOHAN sINGH

    India's new prime minister, is widely regarded as the architect of the country's economic reform program. Few doubt his ability as an economist and administrator. The questions are more over his ability and experience as a political strategist leading a coalition government. He has never won a popular election in his life. He sits in the upper house of parliament on a vote from his Congress party.

    The academic-turned-civil servant, who studied economics at Cambridge and Oxford, became India's finance minister in 1991 when the country was plunging into bankruptcy. That served as the launch for an ambitious and unprecedented economic reform program in India that was firmly supported by the then Congress party Prime Minister PV Narasimha Rao.

    Mr Singh slashed red tape, simplified the tax system and removed stifling controls and regulations to try create an environment conducive to business. The economy revived, industry picked up, inflation was checked, and growth rates remained consistently high in the 1990s. He is a strong advocate of a "mixed economy model" with an important role for government-owned companies, especially in infrastructure and agriculture.

    He also once confessed to an admiration for former British prime minister and free market practitioner Margaret Thatcher. A trusted confidante of Congress leader Sonia Gandhi, Dr Singh, 72, keeps a low profile in the party . The consensus-believing genial politician is also seen as a leader who keeps himself above petty power games.

    "It is getting government out of activities where governments are not very efficient at doing things, (and) getting government more actively involved where we feel markets alone cannot provide the necessary amount of goods that our people need-basic education, basic health care, environmental protection measures, basic social safety needs," he once said. 

    Political Structure
    From Economist.com

    Official name

    Republic of India

    Form of state

    Federal republic, with 29 states and six union territories

    Head of state

    President, currently Abdul Kalam, indirectly elected in 2002 for a five-year term by members of the central and state assemblies

    The executive

    The Prime Minister presides over a Council of Ministers chosen from elected members of parliament

    National legislature

    Bicameral. The Rajya Sabha, or upper house, has 245 members (233 elected by weighted votes of the elected members of parliament and the legislative assemblies of states and union territories, and 12 appointed by the president). The Lok Sabha, or lower house, has 545 members, 543 elected from single-member constituencies (79 seats are reserved for scheduled castes and 40 for scheduled tribes) and two representatives of Anglo-Indians appointed by the president

    State legislatures

    Unicameral or bicameral, with elected members; state governors are appointed by the president

    Legal system

    Based on the 1950 constitution and English common law

    National government

    The National Democratic Alliance (NDA), a coalition led by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), won a clear majority in the September-October 1999 election and installed Atal Behari Vajpayee as prime minister. The NDA continues to rule, despite minor changes in its composition

    Prime minister: Atal Behari Vajpayee (BJP)

    National election

    The next Lok Sabha election is due by October 2004

    Main political organisations

    Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP); Indian National Congress (Congress); Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI-M); Telegu Desam Party (TDP); Samajwadi Party; Shiv Sena; Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP); Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK); Janata Dal; Samata; All-India Anna DMK (AIADMK); Biju Janata Dal (BJD); Trinamool Congress (TC); Nationalist Congress Party (NCP); Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD); Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD); Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD)


    Politics in Brief

    India’s political landscape is dominated by two parties, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Congress, though smaller parties prove valuable in forming coalitions. The BJP, espousing a Hindu fundamentalist platform, won power in 1999; its leader, Atal Behari Vajpayee, presided over economic growth despite failing to implement needed economic reforms, such as introducing a nationwide value-added tax. But the BJP, despite having done well in state elections in December 2003, lost power in general elections in April and May 2004: the poorest regions didn’t believe Mr Vajpayee’s “India Shining” campaign.

    Congress, led by Sonia Gandhi, the Italian-born widow of a former prime minister, was able to form coalitions. (It also helped that Mrs Gandhi’s children, Priyanka and Rahul, proved popular in the crucial state of Uttar Pradesh.) But Mrs Gandhi, fearing a nationalist backlash, decided to put up Manmohan Singh, a former finance minister, as prime minister. Whether Mr Singh will continue the BJP's programme of gradual decentralisation remains to be seen. But Mr Singh should continue talks with Pakistan’s Pervez Musharraf over the disputed state of Kashmir; the process, which Mr Vajpayee began in April 2003, enjoys consensus support.

    The BJP

    Kashmir

    Since the partition of the Indian subcontinent in 1947, the Muslim-majority region of Kashmir has been a bone of contention between India and Pakistan. The area is divided by a “line of control”, with Pakistan administering the northern half and claiming the southern half, administered by India, as well. Tens of thousands of Kashmiris have died as a result of insurgent violence in the Indian section.  India and Pakistan verged on war in May 1999, after Pakistani-backed militants invaded Indian territory, and again in December 2001 after an attack on India's parliament. In April 2003, Atal Behari Vajpayee, India's prime minister, stressed the need for dialogue, which led to some surprisingly warm unofficial meetings. But the death of a suspected terrorist in August 2003 sparked renewed violence. In November 2003 the two sides agreed to a formal ceasefire, the first in decades, and in January 2004 Mr Vajpayee and Pervez Musharraf, Pakistan's president, agreed to wide-ranging talks. The Indian state of Kashmir is under a coalition government led by the People's Democratic Party. In September 2003 its main opposition, the All-Party Hurriyat Conference, which favours independence, split into a more moderate and a more hardline group, the former of which met Mr Vajpayee in January 2004.

    The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) traces its roots back to the Bharatiya Jan Sangh, a party representing traditional Hindu values. It is the political wing of a group of interconnected cultural and religious movements—the Sangh Parivar—of which the most politically significant is the RSS (Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh), a disciplined cadre organisation that counts the prime minister and home minister among its members. The RSS, one of whose members assassinated Mahatma Gandhi, is seen by its critics as a sinister, anti-Muslim group.

    The BJP emerged as a significant force in the 1989 general election, winning 88 seats. A central campaign issue was the demand that a Hindu temple be constructed on the site of the Babri mosque in Ayodhya in Uttar Pradesh, which many Hindus believe was earlier the site of a temple marking the birthplace of the Hindu god-king Ram. In the 1991 election the BJP established itself as the main national opposition and won power in four states. In December 1992 Sangh Parivar activists demolished the Babri mosque, triggering communal riots that left thousands dead. In the 1993 state elections the BJP suffered setbacks and won just one state administration, but in the 1996 general election it won 160 seats in the Lok Sabha.

    In May 1996 the BJP formed its first national government, led by Mr Vajpayee, which lasted just 13 days. The BJP re-emerged as the power broker in 1998, when it won 182 seats in the general election and cobbled together a coalition of 13 parties under Mr Vajpayee’s leadership. The coalition proved unwieldy, collapsing in April 1999. However, Mr Vajpayee has proved himself able to rally parties of disparate political persuasions to form a government. Another election in September-October 1999 returned a BJP-led coalition of 20 partners to power. Members of the new coalition, the National Democratic Alliance, campaigned under a common platform and won 302 seats. Despite the increased majority, however, the range of parties involved in government has left the alliance vulnerable to the whims of smaller regional parties. For instance, when the Andhra Pradesh-based Telugu Desam Party (TDP) withdrew its support for the government in the vote on the BJP’s performance in riot-torn Gujarat in 2002, the BJP hurriedly formed an alliance with the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) in Uttar Pradesh, despite the failure of a previous alliance with that party.

    As leader of the BJP’s moderate wing, Mr Vajpayee has sought to rein in the party’s more extreme Hindu nationalist members, particularly in relation to questions of economic reform. But the party’s reformist credentials have proved increasingly shaky in the face of conflicting demands from coalition members and resistance from the BJP’s nationalist wing. The close relations the party has cultivated with leading industrialists have also resulted in increased protection for some industries from foreign competition. Mr Vajpayee made efforts to broaden the appeal of a party dominated by high-caste Hindu northerners beyond its traditional vote bank, appointing a low-caste southerner, Bangaru Laxman, as BJP president—the first Dalit to hold a senior post in the party. However, Mr Laxman was forced to resign in March 2001 after he was caught on film accepting a bribe from journalists posing as defence contractors.


    The Congress party

    Congress led the campaign for independence, and has remained a powerful force in Indian politics, transcending religious, ethnic and caste divisions. However, it is also a party tightly focused on its heritage: members of the Nehru-Gandhi family have led the party throughout most of its history. India’s first prime minister, Jawaharlal Nehru, was succeeded by Lal Bahadur Shastri, who died within a year of taking office. The party then turned to Nehru’s daughter, Indira Gandhi, who led it until her assassination in 1984 when her son, Rajiv, took over as party leader. Rajiv was assassinated in 1991, and Congress is now led by his widow, Sonia.

    The decline of Congress began when Mrs Gandhi declared a state of emergency. Her opponents combined to form the Janata Party, which won the 1977 election. In 1980 Mrs Ghandi brought down the Janata government and returned to power. Her son, Rajiv, came to power in 1984 with the largest majority ever and the aim of liberalising and modernising government, but he was soon mired in a corruption scandal and lost the 1989 election. He too managed to split and finally bring down the Janata Dal government that followed him, but he was killed before the 1991 general election. Although falling just short of majority, Congress formed a government after the election and, under the spur of a payments crisis, carried out considerable economic liberalisation. That did not, however, save it from defeat in the 1996 election.

    As effort after effort to form a national alternative failed, the electorate turned to regional and caste-based parties. Following Congress’s poor performance in the 1998 general election, Rajiv Ghandi’s Italian-born widow, Sonia, gave in to repeated requests and took over as party leader. However, her foreign birth has prompted criticism in parts of Congress as well as by the BJP. Three Congress party members were expelled from the party for challenging Mrs Gandhi’s credentials for the leadership; they included a powerful senior figure, Sharad Pawar, who went on to establish the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) in the electorally significant state of Maharashtra—where Congress and the NCP now make up a coalition government.

    Congress has performed strongly in recent state elections, benefiting from an anti-incumbency trend. However, as the electorate becomes more sophisticated, particularly in urban areas, the party’s dependence on the Nehru-Gandhi dynasty is an increasing hindrance. In rural areas, on the other hand, the dynastic claim still exerts considerable force, and Mrs Gandhi’s charismatic daughter, Priyanka, is widely thought a likely future candidate to lead the party.


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